Heritage Action for America Executive Director Jessica Anderson insists, “We’re seeing trends similar to past elections, like Democrats taking advantage of early voting while Republicans are largely waiting until Election Day. Unlike 2016, both campaigns realize they cannot take the Midwest for granted, so they have increased events and outreach there.
“Swing Voters are also up for grabs and have spurred groups like Heritage Action to build out a long-term infrastructure in North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin,” she said.
The actual impact of mail-in ballots and new voter registrations will be somewhat measurable after the election, but for now these two factors are extremely worrisome to strategists.
Jim Manley, former communications director for then-Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.) and an adviser to Sen. Ted Kennedy (D-Mass.), sees a link to the Trump ghosts.
“What concerns me is that we are kind of in uncharted waters here, given the record-setting amount of early voting that is going on. I look at the long lines of voters waiting for hours to vote early and I wonder who exactly are they? Are they Trump voters coming out now, or are they going to wait till election day?”
Concerns about voter fraud continue, as seen in a recent Public Interest Law Firm (PILF) investigation that found Pennsylvania voters registered at addresses for vacant lots, commercial businesses, and even the Alcoa world headquarters. Critics of mail-in ballots insist they are an invitation to deep corruption of the election process.
Where Black voters come down next week may be the biggest surprise of 2020, as recent polling by Rasmussen Reports suggests Trump has significantly expanded his support among African-Americans.
Republican strategist Matt Mackowiak, whose Potomac Strategy Group operates from offices in Washington, D.C. and Austin, Texas, includes that prospect among the President’s most significant advantages.
He told The Epoch Times on Oct. 26 the Trump’s team advantages include: “Greater intensity, likely improvement among African-Americans and Hispanics, better data, and massively more direct voter contact. Biden has a lead but it’s shrinking.”
Still, Taxpayers Protection Alliance (TPA) President David Williams sees uncertainty.
“There are so many variables and uncertainties, nobody should be surprised by any outcome come Nov. 3, or whenever a winner is determined,” Williams said Monday. Brian Darling, former senior counsel to Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) and founder of Liberty Government Affairs, is similarly cautious, warning that, “It is no wonder that the polling indicates that Democrats are on the rise, yet we saw similar polling numbers in the swing states of Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan in 2016. There is a decent chance that the polling is wrong again, because of the unpredictable nature of this race.”
But Less Government President Seton Motley sees the most important indicator of all for the final outcome in the relative enthusiasm for Trump and Biden.
“President Trump holds 20,000-plus people rallies and drives past thousands of additional supporters lining the streets on his way back to the airport. Then there are the numerous, nation-wide Trump car caravans and boat flotillas.” Motley said.
“But Joe Biden hosts events that can’t draw flies,” he said.
Contact Mark Tapscott atMark.Tapscott@epochtimes.nyc